[张贴报告]Influence of autumn Kara Sea ice on the subsequent winter minimum temperature over the Northeast China

Influence of autumn Kara Sea ice on the subsequent winter minimum temperature over the Northeast China
编号:410 稿件编号:2444 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-04-10 19:57:49 浏览:2次 张贴报告

报告开始:2024年05月18日 10:51 (Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:1min

所在会议:[SP] 张贴报告专场 » [sp12] 主题12、大气物理与气象气候

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摘要
Many previous studies have examined the influence of Arctic sea ice on the weather/climate of the Northern Hemisphere. However, the precursor signals of Arctic sea ice regarding East Asian winter low temperatures, which are important for climate prediction, have received little attention. This study identified an out-of-phase relation between the autumn sea ice area of the Kara Sea (SICK) and subsequent winter minimum temperatures in Northeast China (NEC) during 1979–2019, i.e., diminished SICK facilitates cooling anomalies at NEC. Further results showed that the Arctic Oscillation (AO) acts as a bridge in the linkage between the autumn SICK and minimum temperature in NEC. Diminished autumn SICK leads to a weakened polar vortex in both the troposphere and the stratosphere in the subsequent winter through vertical propagation of planetary waves, contributing to a negative phase of the AO. Accordingly, the SICK is followed by anomalous Rossby wave train that originates from Mediterranean Sea and propagates eastward to Northeast Asia. Thus, the SICK has substantially influence on the Mongolia cyclone and minimum temperature in NEC by modulation of the AO. Moreover, the shrinking SICK could lead to the upper-level decelerated westerly anomalies at East Asia through altering the equator-to-pole temperature gradient and induce negative minimum temperature anomalies at NEC. The results of this study have importance regarding the prediction of low temperature anomalies over NEC.
关键字
sea ice at Kara Sea,winter low temperature at Northeast China,Rossby wave,AO
报告人
周昕
硕士研究生 南京信息工程大学

稿件作者
周昕 南京信息工程大学
李尚锋 吉林省气象科学研究所
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