[张贴报告]Redefined background state in the tropical Pacific resolves the entanglement between the background and ENSO

Redefined background state in the tropical Pacific resolves the entanglement between the background and ENSO
编号:376 稿件编号:463 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-04-10 19:30:04 浏览:38次 张贴报告

报告开始:2024年05月18日 10:57 (Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:1min

所在会议:[SP] 张贴报告专场 » [sp12] 主题12、大气物理与气象气候

暂无文件

摘要
Understanding the co-variability between the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and its background in the tropical Pacific is critical for projecting future ENSO. The difficulty is rooted in a circular logic that the background state routinely defined by multi-decadal mean modulates, and is modulated by, ENSO. This circularity arises due to the asymmetry between El Nino and La Nina, resulting in a non-zero mean, referred to as the ENSO rectification effect. Here, we develop a novel method based on Box–Cox normalization to define the tropical Pacific background and its associated anomalies, which removes the ENSO rectification effect and is referred to as the normalized mean state. The normalized mean state accurately quantifies ENSO-related anomalies, ENSO asymmetry and the ENSO rectification effect. It is evident in both observations and model simulations that the normalized mean state has a clear asymmetric impact on the amplitude of ENSO. A warm background weakens El Niño but strengthens La Niña through two key processes: the nonlinear response of precipitation to SST and oceanic zonal advection feedback. The normalized mean state successfully solves the circular reasoning fallacy resulting from ENSO asymmetry and offers a new framework to study ENSO and tropical climate dynamics with far-reaching impacts on global climate.
关键字
ENSO rectification effect,ENSO asymmetry,Climate background state,Interaction between ENSO and mean-state
报告人
陈悦
工程师 安徽省气象科学研究所

稿件作者
黄平 中国科学院大气物理研究所
陈悦 安徽省气象科学研究所
李金豹 香港大学
晏宏 中国科学院地球环境研究所
发表评论
验证码 看不清楚,更换一张
全部评论
● 会务总协调  

● 学术安排

 

辜克兢

13950003604

gukejing@xmu.edu.cn

辜克兢

13950003604

gukejing@xmu.edu.cn

柳    欣

13806024185

liuxin1983@xmu.edu.cn

窦    恒

18627754021

douheng@chytey.com

孙佳妮

15201086188

scarlett@chytey.com

刘    琳

13313708075

lliu@iue.ac.cn

 

● 会场技术服务

 

李    虎

柳    欣

18965842343

13806024185

hli@iue.ac.cn

liuxin1983@xmu.edu.cn
李招英

13860473552

lizhaoying@xmu.edu.cn

     
           
● 会场安排   ● 会议注册  

辜克兢

13950003604

gukejing@xmu.edu.cn

胡勤梅 13554192326

mary@chytey.com

窦    恒

18627754021

douheng@chytey.com

孙晓笛 18813296455 xiaodi.sun@xmu.edu.cn
           
● 商业赞助   ● 会议财务  
朱    佳 13950159036

zhujia@xmu.edu.cn

许心雅 18005960255 xuxinya@xmu.edu.cn
           

海报张贴

 

● 酒店预定及咨询

 
张    君 13860426122 junzhang@xmu.edu.cn

李    璟

18627754146

lijing@chytey.com

卢    巍 18971567453 luwei@chytey.com      

 

登录 注册缴费 酒店预订