[张贴报告]Extraordinary hot extreme in summer 2022 over the Yangtze River basin modulated by the La Niña condition under global warming

Extraordinary hot extreme in summer 2022 over the Yangtze River basin modulated by the La Niña condition under global warming
编号:2036 稿件编号:301 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-04-11 21:02:49 浏览:377次 张贴报告

报告开始:2024年05月18日 08:18 (Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:1min

所在会议:[SP] 张贴报告专场 » [sp12] 主题12、大气物理与气象气候

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摘要
A widespread and prolonged hot extreme hit the Yangtze River basin in summer 2022, with 300 sites established new temperature records and nearly 96% stations endured more than 40 hot days. From the perspective of the combination effect of the global warming and La Niña condition, potential mechanisms of the hot extreme were investigated. Such a record-breaking hot extreme was caused by an extremely strong and westward-shifted western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH). The global warming effect contributed primarily to the abnormal hot days in the Yangtze River basin, coupled with the modulation of the La Niña condition. The sea surface temperature anomaly pattern under La Niña condition favored more convection activities over the western Pacific, encouraging an enhanced and westward-extended WPSH. In addition, an observation-based attribution analysis indicates that anthropogenic warming may increase the probability of such extensively persistent hot extreme by 1.8 times. This study highlighted the importance of the global warming and contemporary La Niña effects on hot extremes over the Yangtze River Basin.
 
关键字
Hot extreme,The Yangtze River basin,Global warming,Tropical Pacific forcing
报告人
廖圳
副研究员 中国气象科学研究院

稿件作者
廖圳 中国气象科学研究院
袁宇锋 中国气象科学研究院
陈阳 中国气象科学研究院
翟盘茂 中国气象科学研究院
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