[特邀报告]Constrain climate projections for more reliable storylines of future extreme climate changes

Constrain climate projections for more reliable storylines of future extreme climate changes
编号:1921 稿件编号:2010 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-04-11 20:51:35 浏览:418次 特邀报告

报告开始:2024年05月19日 13:00 (Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:10min

所在会议:[S12] 主题12、大气物理与气象气候 » [S12-8] 主题12、大气物理与气象气候 专题12.10(19日下午,224)

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摘要
Our understanding of future climate extremes relies extensively on climate projections by Earth system models. Such model projections are nevertheless subject to substantial uncertainties, impeding their reliability in assisting climate adaptation planning. Different emergent remedies have been proposed to constrain the projections with observations. They are end-to-end constraints, if not all, that is, observation constraints are applied directly and separately to individual extreme climate variables. I will illustrate the need of process-oriented constraints for advancing our physical understanding of future extreme climate changes and developing storylines to better inform adaptation practitioners and stakeholders. Then, I will introduce some initial attempts on such process-oriented constraints. 
关键字
Climate extremes,Observational constraints,Climate projections
报告人
李超
教授 华东师范大学

稿件作者
李超 华东师范大学
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