Quantifying Wetland Methane Emissions from the Southeastern United States: A Data-driven Approach, Key Variables, and Spatiotemporal Distributions
编号:1838
稿件编号:1586 访问权限:仅限参会人
更新:2024-04-11 19:29:33 浏览:459次
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摘要
Methane (CH4) contributes ~20% to post-industrial climate warming due to its greenhouse gas effects. Among all methane sources, wetlands are the single largest and climate-sensitive natural source. Estimating wetland methane emissions involves reconciling top-down inversion and bottom-up process-based models. However, these two model types are dependent and exhibit large disparities. To better understand wetland methane emissions and refine the process-based and inversion models, we need independent high-resolution and long-term wetland methane flux data. Here, we develop a high-spatial-resolution (1 km × 1 km) monthly wetland CH4 flux dataset for the Southeastern (SE) United States (US) from 1982 to 2010 using a data-driven random forest (RF) approach. We utilize CH4 flux measurements from four FLUXNET-CH4 wetland sites to develop the RF regression model along with 11 environmental variables. Wetland CH4 fluxes estimated using the model fit well with the measured CH4 fluxes (R2 = 0.91) from four representative FLUXNET-CH4 wetland sites across the SE US. Leveraging the developed RF model and wetland distribution data, we map the spatial distribution of CH4 emissions in the study region. Our mapping reveals large spatial variability in CH4 emissions, ranging from 0 to 266.0 nmolCH4 m-2 s-1, with the coastal wetland areas, the Mississippi Delta, and the Everglades being the predominant sources of CH4. Our dataset demonstrates good agreement with the remote sensing-derived wetland CH4 fluxes from the Carbon Monitoring System Methane Flux for North America product, confirming the credibility of our wetland CH4 flux estimations. Variable importance analysis highlights that air temperature and the Palmer Drought Severity Index are key environmental predictors. This first-ever high-spatial-resolution (1 km × 1 km) and long-term (1982-2010) monthly gridded regional wetland CH4 flux product over the SE US provide a benchmark and an added constraint for future wetland CH4 flux modeling and upscaling studies in the study region.
关键字
wetland,methane emissions,machine learning,FLUXNET
稿件作者
何柯琪
Duke University
LiWenhong
Duke University
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